國家衛生研究院 NHRI:Item 3990099045/15751
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    题名: Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
    作者: Chen, K;de Schrijver, E;Sivaraj, S;Sera, F;Scovronick, N;Jiang, L;Roye, D;Lavigne, E;Kyselý, J;Urban, A;Schneider, A;Huber, V;Madureira, J;Mistry, MN;Cvijanovic, I;Gasparrini, A;Vicedo-Cabrera, AM;Armstrong, B;Schneider, R;Tobias, A;Astrom, C;Guo, Y;Honda, Y;Abrutzky, R;Tong, S;de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M;Saldiva, PHN;Correa, PM;Ortega, NV;Kan, H;Osorio, S;Orru, H;Indermitte, E;Jaakkola, JJK;Ryti, N;Pascal, M;Katsouyanni, K;Analitis, A;Mayvaneh, F;Entezari, A;Goodman, P;Zeka, A;Michelozzi, P;de’Donato, F;Hashizume, M;Alahmad, B;Diaz, MH;De la Cruz Valencia, C;Overcenco, A;Houthuijs, D;Ameling, C;Rao, S;Carrasco-Escobar, G;Seposo, X;da Silva, SP;Holobaca, IH;Acquaotta, F;Kim, H;Lee, W;Íñiguez, C;Forsberg, B;Ragettli, MS;Guo, YLL;Pan, SC;Li, S;Colistro, V;Zanobetti, A;Schwartz, J;Dang, TN;Van Dung, D;Carlsen, HK;Cauchi, JP;Achilleos, S;Raz, R
    贡献者: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
    摘要: Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; among which 1 in 5 to 1 in 4 heat-related deaths can be attributed to population aging. Despite a projected decrease in cold-related mortality due to progressive warming alone, population aging will mostly counteract this trend, leading to a net increase in cold-related mortality by 0.1%–0.4% at 1.5–3 °C global warming. Our findings indicate that population aging constitutes a crucial driver for future heat- and cold-related deaths, with increasing mortality burden for both heat and cold due to the aging population.
    日期: 2024-02-27
    關聯: Nature Communications. 2024 Feb 27;15:Article number 1796.
    Link to: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z
    JIF/Ranking 2023: http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=NHRI&SrcApp=NHRI_IR&KeyISSN=2041-1723&DestApp=IC2JCR
    Cited Times(Scopus): https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85186221798
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